Can a regular investor make money in a secular bear market?

Posted by Eric LeRiche | June 23, 2010 .

It’s a common misconception that you cannot make money in a secular bear market (such as we are in right now). This belief is especially prevalent among retirement savers. The general thinking is that a secular bear market must surely mean the end of one’s retirement dreams. And you know what? They are absolutely correct! [...]

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Is the recession truly over?

Posted by Eric LeRiche | June 17, 2010 .

Is the recession truly over? It may seem somewhat late to be asking that question. After all, haven’t Washington and Wall Street already bragged as to how we have had an adequate number of consecutive months of GDP growth to sound the death knell for “The Great Recession of 2007-2010”? Heck, we’ve even been regaled [...]

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BP Share Price Finally Plunges…

Posted by Eric LeRiche | June 11, 2010 .

BP shares plunged to a 14-year low this week on fears of political fallout. With investors seemingly deciding to panic all at once, BP’s U.S. exchange-traded ADR (the company also trades in London) tumbled 16% in one day on Wednesday. That fall cut the share price almost exactly in half, as measured from pre-oil spill [...]

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The Gulf Fiasco: How It Affects Your Energy Investments

Posted by Eric LeRiche | June 4, 2010 .

(from agora) This oil fiasco in the Gulf is getting worse and worse. The spill is now the largest in U.S. history, and we will live with the effects for years to come. What follows is some thinking (and guessing) on what the consequences might be — especially as it relates to our investments. At [...]

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What does the BETA of a stock represent?

Posted by Eric LeRiche | May 25, 2010 .

By definition, the market itself has an underlying beta of 1.0, and individual stocks are ranked according to how much they deviate from the macro market (for simplicity purposes, the S&P 500 is usually used as a proxy for the market as a whole). A stock that swings more than the market (i.e. more volatile) [...]

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Upcoming trading week forecast

Posted by Eric LeRiche | May 17, 2010 .

The overall technical condition of the major indexes continues to deteriorate. We are a little oversold on an intraday basis but not on a daily basis. Charts suggest downside to near the 200 day moving averages of the major indexes. (NYSE composite broke below it friday.) For the S&P 500, that stands at 1100 today. [...]

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More Banks are being Investigated…

Posted by Eric LeRiche | May 13, 2010 .

U.S. authorities are expanding their probes of past mortgage securities deals, with New York’s attorney general opening an investigation into whether eight banks misled rating agencies, a source familiar with the matter said. New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo’s office on Wednesday served subpoenas on four U.S. banks and four European lenders, the source said. [...]

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Bulls vs Bears

Posted by Eric LeRiche | May 11, 2010 .

The U.S. stock market jumped 3.9% on Monday, following a deal by the European Union (EU), the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the European Central Bank (ECB) to bail out not only Greece but other European countries, as well. The $955-billion program resulted in broad gains in Europe’s major indices and set the stage for [...]

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Markets snap back but for how long?

Posted by Eric LeRiche | May 10, 2010 .

Last week I noted, “…high-flying stock markets are looking more and more vulnerable.” I wrote, “…resistance appears significant. Volatility (fear) is returning in a potentially big way. It’s not here yet; and that increases the likelihood of lower prices to come. Global markets are reflecting a reprise of contagion distress. I continue to suspect equities [...]

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Possible Scenario for Thursday`s Market Crash

Posted by Eric LeRiche | May 8, 2010 .

Down 1,000 points at its worst, the Dow recovered to a 350-point loss on the day. And all because “M” is just a hair too close to “B” on a standard American keyboard, we’re told. The story goes that a trader at a major firm perhaps mistyped a trade as “billions” rather than “millions.” Word [...]

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